The midterm elections are right around the corner and it’s looking stronger than ever for the Republicans.
I would say that if we don’t win majority control over at least the House, then we’re doing something wrong in one way or another.
The latest CBS Battleground Tracker poll predicts Republicans will gain 15 House seats in the midterms.
The survey predicts 228 GOP seats and 207 Democratic seats.
The newest estimate is based on a model that precisely forecasted the 2018 midterm election results.
“Our 2018 model performed particularly well, steadily tracking Democrats’ improvement in key congressional races and the eventual blue wave in the House. In fact, our high-turnout scenario nailed the final result, when it came to pass that historic turnout powered Democratic gains,” the Battleground Tracker poll stated.
The model seems to track recent national polls predicting a red wave that will shift the House to the Republicans. Rasmussen Reports polled likely U.S. voters on Friday and gave Republicans a 7-point advantage.
The survey found that “if the elections for Congress were held today, 49% of Likely U.S. voters would choose the Republican candidate, while 42% would vote for the Democrat. Just four percent (4%) would vote for some other candidate, but another five percent (5%) are not sure.”
A Trafalgar Group study from October showed GOP voters ahead as well, by a margin of 48.2% to 42.4%.
Cook Political Report now estimates Republicans might flip 25 seats. Earlier estimates were 10-20 seats.
National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Rick Scott predicted 52 GOP Senate seats after 2022.
“Herschel Walker will win Georgia. We’re going to keep all 21 of ours. Oz is going to win against Fetterman in Pennsylvania. And Adam Laxalt will win in Nevada. But I think we have every reason to believe we can pick up with Blake Masters in Arizona, with Don Bolduc [in New Hampshire],” said National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman, Rick Scott.
To break the 50-50 Senate tie, Republicans need 51 senators. Vice President holds tie-breaking vote, so Democrats control the chamber.